Wind Crux MageTier 2
at Ascent Santa Clara
decks
8
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
61
23-24-14
overall winrate
49.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.8%
avg ELO -2.1 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1354
· median 1357
· range 1159–1526
(8 pilots with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1197
Q3 1420
1750
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
12% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 19.8% | 15 | 3-7-5 | 36.7% | 39.5% | 31.2% | -7.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.2% | 7 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 55.7% | +2.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.6% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 39.2% | -5.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 73.5% | +15.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.3% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 37.4% | -7.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.6% | -6.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 60.0% | +7.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 40.5% | -5.5 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.3% | -10.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 30.7% | -14.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.8 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -21.9 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.7 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Water Arisanna | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Water Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Water Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Wind Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
